I am pretty sure you just sent out a new boat of supplies every year make it or not. Worse case the mission fails and the next mission has 20 supply ships in orbit waiting for them. I have no idea on the minimum mass required to send supplies, i.e. if you can recycle 99% of the water you need, would only need a few drops per day. If you can only recycle 50%, you are going to need a bunch.