Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

13 pointsdata379y ago22 comments

Which Ones?

22 comments

The only ones I am willing to wager on are corporate infrastructure related software and domain specific software (like CAD tools, movie animation tools etc). For similar legacy reasons, I am willing to add Linux derivatives and GNU C compiler, but won't wager on them.

acagle9y ago

Thanks to Minecraft, I expect a whole new batch of Java developers over the next several years.

mod9y ago

Didn't it get ported after MS bought it?

1 more reply

ThePawnBreak9y ago

vim, emacs, linux, chrome, jvm, windows, directx, visual studio, javascript, C++, google, facebook, aws, gcc, llvm, photoshop.

victorhugo313379y ago

TCP/IP/Ethernet

AnimalMuppet9y ago

In addition to what others have said: Lisp and Haskell will still be around and relevant. (Relevant being defined as "as relevant as they are today or better", not as "large fractions of new software being written in them".)

Hate to say it, but I'd bet that Windows in some form will still be around, with an API that is recognizably similar to today's.

samfisher839y ago

Excel. Going on 30 year strong.

flukus9y ago

GNU tools. I expect them to be relevant longer than I am.

veddox9y ago

Looking at what's already been around for >10 years:

vim, emacs, linux, windows, mac os x, nethack (plus a whole stack of programming languages like C).

ThePawnBreak9y ago

That's an excellent observation. Probably a better question would be what software younger than 10 years will still be around in 10 years. I'm thinking Go, Rust, Servo, DeepMind, Uber, Slack, Android, iOS (not sure about the age of the last 2), all the cloud providers' software, and a lot of other stuff. Probably docker as well.

Davidbrcz9y ago

Linux

saretired9y ago

TeX/LaTeX

LarryMade29y ago

Quickbooks on a Windows 7 machine

twunde9y ago

Containers (not Docker per se but descendants of it and competitors). Driverless vehicles

thellimist9y ago

https://www.commitstrip.com/en/2016/06/28/best-cms-2016/

jbms9y ago

Matlab/Simulink. Brilliant tool, and lots of brainpower and money being invested in continuously developing it.