I'm open to the idea that carpooling might increase, but where will it come from? If it is coming from public transit, that would be a net increase in congestion. If it is coming from cars, it would be a net win...but self-driving cars should make ubers cheaper, not more expensive, and the relationship with supply/demand at lower cost would suggest that people would move away from uber pools and towards uberx. I would imagine that the more flexible ride-matching of uber pool (compared to traditional carpooling) would make it easier to use uberpool than it currently is to carpool, and with the right incentives (congestion charges that are waived for carpooling?), we could probably make it work pretty well. I don't know though, the complexity of the dynamics here makes it pretty hard for me to predict with any confidence.