Look, don't take this the wrong way ... probabilities are easy to get wrong ... I'm only having this conversation with you because my math skills are rusty.
> I never said a specific coin was heads
OK, so let's make it mathematically correct (let's say we're painting them) ... making an effort here :)
P( blue_head AND red_head | blue_head OR red_head)
P(blue_head OR red_head) = 1
you said that you're retrying until this happens
normally this would be 3/4
Making the problem ...
P( blue AND red | blue OR red)
= P( blue OR red | blue AND red ) * P( blue AND red ) / P(blue OR red)
(applied bayes)
= 1 * P(blue) * P(red) / 1
But ...
P(blue OR red) = P(blue) + P(red) - P(blue) * P(red) = 1 =>
P(blue) * P(red) = 1 - P(blue) - P(red) = 1 - 1/4 - 1/4 = 1/2
Show me the error.
[EDITED] ... modified the stuff as I've totally fucked up the previous version :) ... as I said, I'm rusty