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0 pointsanjc7y ago0 comments

I presume that the context of those accuracy numbers is prediction for the next period (i.e. 8 minutes, 10 minutes, 1 minute). To me 60% sounds good, but apparently not to people in this thread :)

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fwdpropaganda7y ago

> I presume that the context of those accuracy numbers is prediction for the next period (i.e. 8 minutes, 10 minutes, 1 minute).

That's not a context. That's the statistic they're calculating.

> To me 60% sounds good, but apparently not to people in this thread :)

What does "good" mean, and compared to what? If you can't put a number on "good" you're flying blind.

But hey, I'm just trying to warn people that the maths are garbage here; but if that looks good enough for you go ahead and trade it.

mirekrusin7y ago

Random generator has 50% prediction accuracy. For series like ether where price globally/on average was rising, constant predictor of “will rise” would have similar accuracy.

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