Two points: the basic model assumes there’s a single market to sell to, but different geos ramping up may spike your supply in one market while your other segment is not deliverable yet, causing short term supply spike in one segment while simultaneously being production-constrained in total.
For the Model 3 specifically, the price cuts are mostly in-line with tax credit phaseout and they have reshuffled features (AP features moved to more expensive FSD option for instance). of course the higher end vehicles faced more price cuts, but that speaks little of the demand of the base vehicle.