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0 pointssamvher6y ago0 comments

I don't know, Italy is doing pretty poorly with 79 dead on 160 recovered (2502 total cases). Only the numbers in China really seem to be dropping, and I wonder how that will hold up when people get back to work.

This is not going to be the end of the world as we know it but I think it will take quite some more time before it's behind us.

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makomk6y ago

Italy has an extremely old population compared to most of the rest of the world, and the initial outbreak was detected in a hospital which didn't help. Apparently all the deaths there so far have been people over 60 with existing serious health conditions: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/03/italy-elderly-...

NicoJuicy6y ago

I think it's all okay. China has the biggest cities of the world and they censored it for 2 months, while the virus was spreading.

This isn't happening in the rest of the world. ( Except some dictatorships)

Some minor outliers like you mentioned, eg. Italy. But these are getting handled. It will not spread anymore like it did in China.

It's possible that some parts will need extra handling, but sharing information is the key for handling this.

samvherOP6y ago

I like your optimism and I hope you're right. I don't think Italy, South Korea, Iran are outliers in the sense that there is something fundamentally different going on there though - I think they are just ahead in terms of time. Overall the spread in different countries seems to follow very similar patterns but with different starting dates.

Yes, China did some weird stuff with information in the beginning, but it seems there is not really much reason to suspect they're hiding information anymore [1,2]. The responses by free-er nations have been much milder with more reliance on self-quarantine. Let's hope that that works. And let's hope there will be sufficient testing to stay on top of things.

[1] https://www.vox.com/2020/1/27/21082354/coronavirus-outbreak-...

[2] https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-ch...

NicoJuicy6y ago

While the rest of the world is following, we already had the example of quarantine.

We will see what the best strategy will be, the hardest work is now for China, South Korea, Iran and Italy.

The rest will learn from them.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

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makomk6y ago

NicoJuicy6y ago

I think it's all okay. China has the biggest cities of the world and they censored it for 2 months, while the virus was spreading.

This isn't happening in the rest of the world. ( Except some dictatorships)

Some minor outliers like you mentioned, eg. Italy. But these are getting handled. It will not spread anymore like it did in China.

It's possible that some parts will need extra handling, but sharing information is the key for handling this.

samvherOP6y ago

[1] https://www.vox.com/2020/1/27/21082354/coronavirus-outbreak-...

[2] https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-ch...

NicoJuicy6y ago

While the rest of the world is following, we already had the example of quarantine.

We will see what the best strategy will be, the hardest work is now for China, South Korea, Iran and Italy.

The rest will learn from them.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse