No, to compare Bitcoin to something that has absolutely nothing to do with Bitcoin is ridiculous. That’s like me saying Apple is going to go out of business because Sears went out of business. A complete non sequitur.
The OP said Bitcoin is like the lottery. It’s on him to explain that. The lottery has not returned value to almost every person who bought a ticket in the past decade, Bitcoin has. It’s a false and inept analogy.