In my experience GNU Fortran was always competitive with proprietary compilers at around the 20% level on average once the scheduling was sorted for a new architecture. That's from the times I could try SPARC SunOS and GNU/Linux, MIPS/Irix, Alpha/Tru64(?), RS6000/AIX, and x86 GNU/Linux. (I don't know about the times between those and Opteron.)

I don't have the numbers to hand, but it's at that level on the Polyhedron benchmarks relative to Ifort on SKX with roughly equivalent options. I think it was twice as fast on one case and basically only lost out badly where it unfortunately doesn't use vectorized maths routines for a couple of cases unusually dominated by them, whereas libvecm would be used for C. GNU Fortran is also surprisingly more reliable than Ifort, but has the bizarre mystique that had me ordered to use it against the advice of maintainers of the code, notwithstanding previous comparison with Ifort, and though the result crashed with the Ifort du jour -- which wasn't an immediate clincher.

I don't remember the numbers relative to XLF on POWER, but they were respectable, and I don't have access to the proprietary Arm compiler.

Anyhow, typical HPC run times are relatively insensitive to code generation compared with MPI (especially collectives), and typically aren't even reproducible below the 10% level. [Broad picture, mileage varies, measure and understand, etc.]