>strace -k

>> specific file

>strace -P path

That strace can do it too is fine and all, but the Windows ProcMon collects a trace that you can then filter, like Wireshark. So it enables a workflow where you have no idea what's going on, collect a trace, and discover what entry to focus on and what paths to filter for. (This is what I demonstrated in the msys issue link I posted.)

An equivalent workflow is possible with strace too of course; pipe `strace` to a file and then discover what paths you want to grep for. It does become a bit noisy when the stack of every syscall is included, and requires more complicated grepping because it spans multiple lines, so you might have to first pre-process it into something structured like JSON.