At government hospitals, you have to be tested and be covid positive to be listed as covid death.
Private hospitals in rural areas simply don't send the stats back.
I don't know any family in India that didn't have a death among their relatives.
They said injustice anywhere is injustice everywhere and this is probably the price to pay for letting Modi run his private circus of his kumbh mela and election rallies. The strain has escaped India and we don't know how it will affect the rest of the world.
All his political life, him and his supporters cried for statues and temples and now they stand on the ashes of million dead people and all they can hear is a deafening silence of their gods.
I am sorry for the losses you and your friends have experienced. I came here to provide a contrarian view just so that the readers here do not get a skewed view of what is going on.
I agree with you that the actual deaths are at least 10X and possibly 100X more than the official numbers. But nobody in my family has been tested positive with COVID-19 or died of COVID-19 or any other illness in the last 2 years. I know many friends and colleagues too whose entire families have been safe in this pandemic. There are a few who have lost a family member to COVID-19. Some of them got infected and recovered. But most of the people in my circle and their families are safe.
My immediate family could quarantine because we are relatively well off. We can order online and most of our jobs are tech as well.
Other friends and families including doctors can't afford to stay locked down. The first wave was withering down, life was returning back to normal. All modi had to do was to sit down and shut up. But he thought his getting elected was more important so he organized election rallies and let the kumbh mela happen with 12 million people gathering.
Even by worst estimates ~50% of population has been infected, so not surprising to find families which are not infected.
In terms of number of cases the worst affected are Karnataka and Maharashtra[0] which had neither Kumbh Mela nor election rallies. Neither did other badly affected states like Delhi. Kumbh Mela in fact started when the "second wave" was already well entrenched.
Also, long after Kumbh Mela was truncated and the election rallies got over - and even at the height of the second wave - people were still blowing social distancing norms to smithereens at farmers rallies [1] and Ramzan/Eid celebrations[2].
0. https://www.covid19india.org/
1. https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/covid-norms-go-for-...
2. https://theprint.in/health/covid-protocols-up-in-the-air-in-...
If you have data to back up the 10-100x claim, please share it.
There has been undercounting in most countries and India having largely poor infra you would expect it to be higher there. The data has been analysed by a lot of experts and most are putting the real count between 2-3x. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1390536686635978752?s=...
>> I am quite sure you can do without spreading FUD here though.
With due respect, our entire country is experiencing fear, uncertainty and certainly despair. Giving voice to it is not unreasonable.
From this very article: "He said officially 196 people had died from the virus in Kanpur between 16 April and 5 May, but the data from seven crematoriums showed nearly 8,000 cremations."
Here is another analysis from Gujarat: https://mobile.twitter.com/deepakpatel_91/status/13930705967...
The study that you have linked to above has primarily focused on western countries, where the process of reporting and recording of deaths is much better than in India.
15x more death certificates issued.
10x lower death per million wrt comparable countries
Much more rural deaths in second wave which were totally not counted.
The "daily bhaskar" did an investigative report in couple of districts and said it was 20-40x.
I am not trying to fear monger. Just obey the lockdown, use the mask and get the vaccines. And when things return to normal focus on development instead of egoistical statues and temples.
Do you know if this is reported and compiled accurate in India?
https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/06/opinions/india-farmer-protest...
> The number of fatalities is 10x-100x more than what is published
Source?
The absurdity of asking is even stronger when almost any understanding of the situation on the ground in India would mean an understanding that there is widespread and systemic problems with data collection in India, essentially as there has been throughout the pandemic globally, reflecting the difficulty of determining infection rates, CFR vs IFR and deaths in a testing scarcity environment. I don't know for sure but I would anticipate that there is a good chance that many indian deaths are never registered which would make other post pandemic methods of determining true 'excess mortality' very difficult.
The particular irony in this whole post extending from your question being that the BBC itself, in the linked article, in the second paragraph, states that 'experts say the real death toll is several times higher'.
Now that isn't your 1-2 magnitudes but you don't have to travel far from there to get those types of sources, but depending on how strong-systemiser you go on requiring hard numbers, the fact is no-one will ever know because no one is counting
It's a poor country and tests aren't free, that alone will give you an under count. Throw in the current crises, the positivity rate and all the other challenges of a developing nation and 10x is not at all surprising.
Accurate numbers are a privilege of wealthy nations and even they struggled.
For avoidance of doubt, it's clear that situation right now is much worse than usual, but it's also not quite as unusual as if we had bodies floating down (say) the Hudson or Thames.
Used to be true a century ago, to a lesser extent- half a century ago. Not anymore.
> But many communities follow what is known as "Jal Pravah" - the practice of floating in the river the bodies of children, unwed girls, or those who die from infectious diseases or snake bites.
> Many poor people also cannot afford cremation, and so they wrap the body in white muslin and push it into the water. Sometimes, the bodies are tied to stones to ensure they remain submerged, but as many are floated without weights. In normal times, corpses floating in the Ganges are not an uncommon sight.
You can also find plenty of gruesome footage of decomposing corpses in the Ganges near Varanasi, shot by recent tourists.
> Traditionally, Hindus cremate their dead. But many communities follow what is known as "Jal Pravah" - the practice of floating in the river the bodies of children, unwed girls, or those who die from infectious diseases or snake bites.
> Many poor people also cannot afford cremation, and so they wrap the body in white muslin and push it into the water. Sometimes, the bodies are tied to stones to ensure they remain submerged, but as many are floated without weights. In normal times, corpses floating in the Ganges are not an uncommon sight.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
It’s clear that the official numbers are almost an order of magnitude out vs countries that do more testing (e.g. US).
If you take the official global average death rate of 2% and apply it to India’s case count you’ll get roughly double the number of officially reported deaths.
The news coming out of India is tragic and given the lack of infrastructure in rural areas and the shortage of medical supplies we keep hearing about the “1 order magnitude out” is starting to look like a lower bound.
Thanks in advance.
Here are some suggestions-
1. Gunj - active in very rural and remote areas
2. Akshaya Patra - currently involved in feeding the poorest of the poor
3. Ramakrishna Mission - Religious organization but honest as hell in serving those in need
4. Red Volunteers - They are volunteers from the Communist Party doing amazing work, as is covered in media and seen by me, but they don't have a centralized payments system
5. CM funds of some states are tranparent, but I would stay away. States like West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Odisha come to mind.
I would suggest Ramakrishna Misiion and Akshaya Patra as I have seen their work first hand. And you would find it easy to donate to them.
https://www.newindianexpress.com/states/tamil-nadu/2021/may/...
This link has bank account details for donating -- https://www.newindianexpress.com/states/tamil-nadu/2021/may/...
Also I completely agree with the other commenters about funds not to donate to.
These are verified volunteers directly working at the local level.
Avoid donating to PM CARES FUND. It is a private entity, not a government fund, that has collected almost 2B$ and as far as I can tell had spent only 30M$ to set up a couple of oxygen plants, most of which are not functional.
Another charity I would avoid is Sewa international, which is the charity arm of right wing, nationalist and militant organization RSS. Indias current party in power BJP is an offshoot of RSS.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/nia-examines-khalsa-a...
Sewa has no link with RSS or BJP, thats just nonsense. They are worldwide and non-political unlike Ravi Singhs Khalsa Aid which is openly political.
THIS. I won't speculate where the money goes. But this fund is held in a secret account, no authority is allowed to audit and no one is allowed to inquire where the money is being spent.
https://ereceipt.tn.gov.in/cmprf/Cmprf
As far as I know, the state of Tamil Nadu is doing a good job in being transparent with the funds.
You'll even get tax benefits also in US and India
We would be grateful for your support!
It's heartbreaking to see people suffer due to this pandemic. Reminds me of the privilege I have.
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/coronavirus-net-across-gange...
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/bodies-found-floating-gan...