Humanity's PRESENT has never been more certain, and yes, at present almost every human has it better than at any other time in history.

But it is dangerous to extrapolate that this means our FUTURE is so certain, especially given that we have irreversibly destroyed the environment and conditions which gave us our current prosperity.

> But even that would still only put us where we were less than 200 years ago.

With the exception that all easily accessible resources are gone. Might be a net positive - we will see.

> as technology advanced

The current shortage give us a glimpse of how fragile it is though. I don't see how we could handle a more serious disruption.

Or if the AI thing doesn’t work out. Or some retarded President ends up in a nuclear war with China/Russia. Either of those are way above 1% chance of entirely hosing civilisation. AI is binary. We get on with it or we don’t. Nukes are a continuous threat until they are 100% solved. People don’t usually get worse at technology so once your neighbour Larry can build a nuke or whip up an AI with his own special flavour, we need something not-invented to protect us.

Yes, the individual risk has decreased but that is only if things stay the same and that doesn’t seem to me as very likely. Maybe we’ll colonize other solar systems and evolve further into something else if we manage to keep it together.