> But if the BBO isn’t really moving
That might looks suspicious sure, but there may be other factors (not reflected in the book) influencing a change of desire on my part. For example, what if I only want to buy one of GOOG or APPL and optimistically stick in a low-ball bid on each. If one gets filled, I cancel the other. I never intended for BOTH orders to be filled; is this spoofing? Or half-spoofing? This isn't a real strategy but there are lots of strategies which can look like this.
I agree the state of the order book drives a lot of the behavior of a strategy (but other factors like current position are also critical) but I've never come across a strategy that responds to volume changes far from the BBO. Not to say they don't exist - it's a secretive industry after all - but the changes at or very near the BBO clearly reflect real intent and are weighted accordingly. Quantity change far away from the action is mostly noise.