Let's break down this amazing license:
> 9. Acceptance Not Required for Having Copies. > > You are not required to accept this License in order to receive or run a copy of the Program.
So it's not an EULA. Cool. You can freely run the program as long as you don't modify it. Freedom Zero.
> Therefore, by modifying or propagating a covered work, you indicate your acceptance of this License to do so.
But if you touch the code, you'd better comply with the License. Great. (These clauses are identical to the GPLv3).
Now the magic AGPL clause. Brace for it, and read it very carefully:
> 13. Remote Network Interaction; Use with the GNU General Public License.
> Notwithstanding any other provision of this License, if you modify the Program, your modified version must prominently offer all users interacting with it remotely through a computer network (if your version supports such interaction) an opportunity to receive the Corresponding Source of your version by providing access to the Corresponding Source from a network server at no charge, through some standard or customary means of facilitating copying of software.
Let's break it down:
> If you modify the Program
That is if you are a developer making changes to the source code (or binary, but let's ignore that option)
> your modified version
The modified source code you have created
> must prominently offer all users interacting with it remotely through a computer network
Must include the mandatory feature of offering all users interacting with it through a computer network (computer network is left undefined and subject to wide interpretation)
> an opportunity to receive the Corresponding Source of your version
A direct copy of the source code you have just modified
> from a network server
Directly from a server, without any human involved
(the rest of the statement is irrelevant).
Let's say I am Amazon, and I want to SaaS some AGPL software. How about this:
Step 1: Put it in an internal Git repo (No license implication yet, no changes made)
Step 2: Make that Git repo accessible externally with a specific URL or access key (so it is not guessable) (Clause 9 plus plain redistribution, no modifications, no problem)
Step 3: Modify the software to include a link to that Git repo including the secret key (invokes and is fully compliant with Clause 13) with every response
Step 4: Deploy that software on their internal network (Freedom Zero, invokes Clause 9 during deployment, no extra requirements)
Step 5: Stick a reverse proxy in front that deletes the source code offer (No license implication, does not modify the AGPL software in any way, see Clause 9)
Step 6: Profit
Turns out you have to pick one: either control what people do with your software (which makes your license into a non-free EULA), or don't (which means there is no way for you to control any interaction people have with the software). You can't have it both ways.
I know what you're saying: "But a judge would see right through this trick! Amazon is both modifying the code and setting up the reverse proxy!" Great, then just have different entities do each part. Each part, on its own, is unambiguously not in violation of the license; the developing party is only responsible for including the source code offer, and the running party has no responsibility that it actually reach users if they don't touch the code. Now your license defense relies on proving collusion. Good luck with that if the people involved were careful enough not to write down their evil plans anywhere. Heck, this situation could easily happen semi-organically - a reverse proxy doesn't have to be designed to explicitly remove the source code offer, it could merely be a protocol translator/wrapper that has no support for that specific message/tag, which is something that happens all the time.
Now let's say I am a regular developer of AGPL software and I want to work on it like any other open source project.
Step 1: Clone the GitHub repo
Step 2: Make a change to the code - oops, license violation! Clause 13! I need to change the source code offer first!
Step 1.5: Change the source code offer to point to your repo
Step 2: Make a change to the code and push it
Step 3: Open a pull request with your change
Your change includes the source code offer commit in the history, and cannot be auto-merged. Any AGPL project accepting pull requests from third parties (or even their own developers, if there is no copyright assignment and each developer retains their own copyright) is accepting that everyone is repeatedly violating the AGPL as part of the normal development process, if they're using the GitHub flow and the source code links were not updated in the branches to be merged.
Note that the license doesn't even say anything about Clause 13 being restricted to redistribution or execution or deployment to external users. Merely downloading some AGPL software and changing some code locally is an instant license violation, if you haven't previously made that version accessible and changed the source code offer. Somehow. I don't know. The whole thing is crazy. It's setting rules for mandatory features that must be implemented in the code. It's not a Freedom Zero violation, but it's a Freedom 1 violation instead: The freedom to study how the program works, and change it to make it do what you wish. AGPL Clause 13 restricts how you are allowed to change programs.
As far as I can tell, there is precisely one kind of open source project that could conceivably benefit from the AGPL without being an undue burden on developers and a danger to users: Web apps with nontrivial amounts of JS source code (which would be covered under the license), with the source code offer in that code (so it cannot be removed without invoking the license, even by an automated process, maybe, hopefully a judge would see it that way), and a source code offer mechanism that has the app read its own source code from the live copy, so that no updates to the URL need to happen for different forks.
Anything else, and it's just a terrible license. But the FSF will tell you it's amazing and fixes the SaaS loophole, because they've long since given up on actually being honest and just want to have their cake and eat it too, even when it just isn't possible.