In 25 years? Ukraine is a country with a population of 44,000,000 not that much smaller than the UK or France; South Dakota has a population of 900,000.
Would Russia have recovered them if Ukraine did not want to relinquish them? Maybe, but in the 1990s they were in very bad shape, and before 2004 (and between 2010 and 2014) Ukraine was under a pro-Russian government.
The point here is that, at this point, if any country is under the illusion that it does not need nuclear weapons to maintain its independent existence, they probably deserve to be absorbed by their neighbors.