I can name roughly 10 people in my life who said they didn’t bother. Another 5 who went to police only to be told by them that there was nothing that would happen and that they shouldn’t waste time on finishing the paperwork. To complete the data, I know only 1 person who fully reported a crime, and it was an extreme violent crime.
The second hand testimony from residents and business owners saying the police are telling them not to expect them to be able to prosecute anyone.
But there's also the evidence of what Boudin openly said and advocated. Sometimes the message and the stated intent are worth replacing regardless of how effective they've been at their goals.
The rising crime narrative is entirely an artifact of the pandemic causing historically low crim because for like 8 months no one did anything.
I'm not sure about SF in particular, but my account was for the US as a whole.
> Murder and shootings are comparable with 2018.
This is incorrect. SF homicides:
Year | Homicides
-----+----------
2018 | 44
2019 | 41
2020 | 48
2021 | 56
> The rising crime narrative is entirely an artifact of the pandemic causing historically low crim because for like 8 months no one did anything.
Again, I'm not sure about SF in particular, but nationally the "rising crime narrative" is entirely an artifact of soaring crime, especially violent crimes. For example, homicides have been falling for decades, and then the trend abruptly reversed around 2014. Criminologists have identified specific reversals in cities that experienced large BLM protests immediately following those protests, and this is all pre-pandemic data (the 2020 and 2021 data is still being compiled and analyzed as far as I know).
For example (https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27324/w273...):
> For investigations that were not preceded by "viral" incidents of deadly force, investigations, on average, led to a statistically significant reduction in homicides and total crime. In stark contrast, all investigations that were preceded by "viral" incidents of deadly force have led to a large and statistically significant increase in homicides and total crime. We estimate that these investigations caused almost 900 excess homicides and almost 34,000 excess felonies. The leading hypothesis for why these investigations increase homicides and total crime is an abrupt change in the quantity of policing activity. In Chicago, the number of police-civilian interactions decreased by almost 90% in the month after the investigation was announced. In Riverside CA, interactions decreased 54%. In St. Louis, self-initiated police activities declined by 46%.