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0 pointslrhegeba3y ago0 comments

2 x 3 years would be 6 years. 1950 to 2022 are 72 years. So 6 years of 72 years would be 8,3 percent. YMMV if this can be considered rare

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bruce3434343y ago

The "event" is that it takes/repeats 3 years in a row. So 2 in 72.

nlitened3y ago

2 in 24 three-year slots, so 8.3% again

bruce3434343y ago

Why would you count in 3 year slots? You're saying that it could happen on 1950, but not 1951, and not 1952, but again on 1953?

What if there was La Niña on 1952, 1953 and 1954? Your method does not account for that. Natural events and climate do not adhere to someone's made up "mod 3" date statistics.

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0 pointslrhegeba3y ago0 comments

2 x 3 years would be 6 years. 1950 to 2022 are 72 years. So 6 years of 72 years would be 8,3 percent. YMMV if this can be considered rare

0 comments

bruce3434343y ago

The "event" is that it takes/repeats 3 years in a row. So 2 in 72.

nlitened3y ago

2 in 24 three-year slots, so 8.3% again

bruce3434343y ago

Why would you count in 3 year slots? You're saying that it could happen on 1950, but not 1951, and not 1952, but again on 1953?

What if there was La Niña on 1952, 1953 and 1954? Your method does not account for that. Natural events and climate do not adhere to someone's made up "mod 3" date statistics.

1 more reply

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse