I think no expert will claim it’s a win for either player, but I don’t think all experts agree it’s a draw. There will be some that don’t claim to know either way.

(If they had to bet, I think all experts would bet on “it’s a draw”, but some experts won’t be wanting to bet, even if they think that’s almost certain)

I don't see why anyone would agree to that. In fact, I can see it being far more likely that chess experts believe it ends in a win for white considering that today white is favored, to the point where if offered a quick draw, black will almost certainly take it (unless they need a win to move up a rank in a tournament, etc).

> While this is highly likely and essentially agreed upon by all experts on the matter

Can you cite this?

I can't see anything on this.

It's not something a chess champion would know on their own for instance.

Basically you have to get a good understanding that the advantage of being white can't be leveraged enough to win.

Obviously it can't be proved, but to even get an idea will be very mathematical or computational.

Chess is still no-hard, so "proving this" will be near impossible. The closest we have is statistics. I remember watching a "bot battle." A chess tournament for bots only, algorithms playing eachother. Nearly 70% of these games ended in draw.