And it makes sense, interest rates have been 0...tech company valuations are absurd, with insane tech salaries and RSUs...the stock market reaching all-time high in 2020. People gambling money on crypto, NFTs, wallstreebets, etc. It feels like the economy has been in turbo mode and it reached a peak where people had so much money that they were willing to put it into beanie babies and tulips because they had nothing else to do with it.
Businesses are going to keep raising prices until their numbers start to go down. Despite the inflation we've been seeing, people are still spending money [1].
I think it's easy to blame business strategy, but I think it's worth looking at other economic factors that are causing business strategy...like the decade of free money due to the never-ending QE policy of the fed.
Eventually we'll run out of other people's money and we'll enter a recession. Or we'll just enter into a period of extreme class divide where the middle class doesn't exist anymore...there's either extremely wealthy or poverty.
[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/15/retail-sales-january-2023-.h...
There's an argument I see in favor of building luxury condos and apartments. If they're built, the richest people will vacate their current residences to live there. The next richest people vacate their current residences to move into the now empty residences of the richest people. The third richest group also upgrades to the now empty apartments of the second richest, and so on. At the end of the line, we see that everybody has upgraded, and I don't think this upgrade guarantees people pay more, at least in theory (supply increased while demand remained constant, after all).
Could this happen with cars? Seems like we're moving into a world where instead of the options being nice-new and shitty-new, the options are nice-new and nice-old. Maybe that's not so bad.
(As an aside, their analysis seems pretty flawed by not adjusting for inflation.)
And, yeah, the "2017->2023" comparison irked me as well, with not a single nod to the highest inflation we've seen in over a generation in those intervening years.
If car makers have limited chips etc, they'll probably only use them in their high end cars.
They last forever. My last car was a Corolla and lasted me 17 years. I bought it for $4500, it comes out to about $20 per month when amortized. Never had a problem with it - no major repairs. It also looked very stylish and great during that time.
I just purchased a used Civic about 5 years ago for $5,500 and I expect it to last another 15 years.
i did a super fast review of availabel vehicles. These are not all $5,500 but in the same price range. But there are some at $5,500 and less, and under 100K miles. This is done real fast right now. If you are serious about a car, you will have a LOT more time to look, and should.
Buying a car should be a serious and time-consuming project in order to make sure you don't get fucked. A nice looking car can still be a mechanical shithole. But if a reputable mechanic says, "Fuck yes, buy it now, it's a fantastic deal" well, have the cash ready.
Also, you can buy older and cars with more miles on the as long as they are Honda and Toyota, as they can last forever if maintained. And again, have your mechanic always inspect.
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2003 Honda Civic 98,900 miles $6900
https://losangeles.craigslist.org/sfv/cto/d/granada-hills-20...
2001 Honda Civic clean title 56,000 miles, $6,700
https://losangeles.craigslist.org/sfv/cto/d/glendale-miles-h...
2015 Honda Civic $7,500 - 74,563 miles
https://losangeles.craigslist.org/lac/cto/d/whittier-honda-c...
2007 Toyota Corolla - 84,650 miles - $5,500 It even states in this advertisement - "Your mechanic welcome"
https://losangeles.craigslist.org/sfv/cto/d/los-angeles-2007...
2004 TOYOTA CAMRY - $5,500
https://losangeles.craigslist.org/lac/cto/d/los-angeles-2004...
I have seen budget/economy cars being discontinued in the US, such as the Honda Fit. But it has a lot to do with emission rules pushing folks to buy larger truck platforms. That still needs to be fixed I think.