Exactly. Every discussion I see focuses almost exclusively on AI as it exists right now. Everyone is either dismissing the impact due to some minor shortcoming, or wildly overestimating the short-term impact. The one consistent thing among those who dismiss it and those who think it's going to change everything in the next six months is that they're both drastically underestimating the long-term impact. GPT is already behaving in ways that researchers did not anticipate.

Two decades? It added 40 IQ points in the last six months.

It can already ingest 80kb of information instantly and use it to perform any knowledge task that can be described in that amount of info (with the 32k token model).

The number of areas in which the typical worker is better than a GPT3.5 or GPT4 system that has been properly integrated with the correct data and tools is already probably less than 5% for knowledge workers.

lol research with LLM is not new. It just became useful for a wider audience recently