The recent headlines are all based on NCEP, a model which isn't exactly super reliable.
https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1676391692461547522
In fact, if you read past the headlines in the articles, they also include the same caveat:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/07/0...
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/06/climate/climate-change-re...
The NYT article buries the fact by making it seem like they were only presenting data that far back, but it is literally in the first sentence of the WP article... directly contradicting the very same article's headline.