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0 pointsjefftk2y ago0 comments

Manifold has this at 69%, so here's an opportunity to take some people's internet points: https://manifold.markets/brubsby/will-googles-gemini-beat-gp...

0 comments

danpalmer2y ago

Looks like it's 75%? It briefly dropped to 68% in October/November, but has been fairly consistently around 75% for a while.

jefftkOP2y ago

It's very active today: 50+ trades in the last hour. When I checked it was 69%, but it's gone up and down since then. Click on the "trades" tab to see.

danpalmer2y ago

Ah fair enough, this seems to be an awkward UI. Over time though 75% seems to be the representative recent position. It is up to 85% now though!

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

0 pointsjefftk2y ago0 comments

Manifold has this at 69%, so here's an opportunity to take some people's internet points: https://manifold.markets/brubsby/will-googles-gemini-beat-gp...

0 comments

danpalmer2y ago

Looks like it's 75%? It briefly dropped to 68% in October/November, but has been fairly consistently around 75% for a while.

jefftkOP2y ago

It's very active today: 50+ trades in the last hour. When I checked it was 69%, but it's gone up and down since then. Click on the "trades" tab to see.

danpalmer2y ago

Ah fair enough, this seems to be an awkward UI. Over time though 75% seems to be the representative recent position. It is up to 85% now though!

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse