However...the conclusion is where things fall apart for me a little bit.
> Frankly, I think everyone is so focused on comparing Vision Pro to the Quest 3 that they’re missing the point of what the Vision Pro really is: it’s going to disrupt the TV and projection screens industry. Why would anyone spend $3,000 on a cutting-edge TV when the Vision Pro will give you a resizable screen that's also portable and can easily display all of your content?
I think this is quite far off. For one thing, the average person is absolutely not spending $3,000 on a TV. People look at my $1,500 TV like I'm crazy. A 65" TV is like $350 at Costco.
And, what, I need one Vision Pro per person in my house? So if I have 10 people over to watch football they need a $35,000 set of screens instead of one $1,500 screen.
Then I've got these spatial videos that I can't even take advantage of unless I have a Vision Pro. There's no other device where I can view them in their full glory. You don't even have that problem with other proprietary formats like Live Photos.
And, here's the other thing: prospective customers can't see the benefit of the Vision Pro without using one and giving it a chance. It's kind of a black box device that can't win over a buyer without something of a longer test drive. It's not like the original iPhone where one two-finger pinch resize of a photo can cause an audience to gasp and cheer.
That's going to be where the price is a huge issue. It was easy to just go and impulsively buy Quests because they are at a "toy" price point.
You know why people are comparing the Quest 3 to the Vision Pro? Because the Quest 3 is attainable at $500, and it gives you some of the more useful and impactful AR upgrades that someone would want. It's got working pass-through, you can watch videos on a virtual screen while you fold laundry.
Can't I play back 3D video just as well on a Quest 3? Presumably, if someone makes a simple camera app, you can take a similar "spatial video" and watch it with any VR device, since all VR devices have stereoscopic vision.
I'm sure Apple will eventually bring the price down for the Vision Pro, but it's going to be a long journey. I'm not betting against it, but at the same time, I'm not betting that it's the next evolution of computing.
