I think that this will be signaled when someone factors a 32 bit integer on one. At that point I guess it'll be about 20 years before someone can factor a 2048 bit integer, and I'll get twitchy about what I am sending over the wire with PKI. My feeling is that all my secrets from 20 years ago are irrelevant to life now so I feel 20 years of warning is quite sufficient.
Post quantum crypto is cryptography that cannot be broken by a quantum computer. This is rather nebulous, since we haven't yet discovered all possible algorithms that can run on quantum computers. Before you know it, someone comes along and finds a new efficient algorithm for quantum computers that breaks something thought to be post-quantum. Which is what is happening here - if the results stand up under scrutiny.
Sidenote: it may turn out that any crypto scheme which supports some operation on ciphertexts that translates into an operation on the plaintexts is quantum-resilient (or, vice versa, quantum-vulnerable). But tgat would require a fornal proof.
