Here’s a Tesla failing to detect a train and crashing into a railroad crossing gate: https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/s/AghLi791rO

This isn’t just “a few iterations away”.

Most of what you said has been repeated for years from people who just watch curated YouTube videos. I’ve driven on FSD v12 and I’ve intervened multiple times almost every single drive. It’s nowhere near ready and will likely never be with that sensor suite.

Waymo spent a long time at about that level as well, and it's a common situation with AI: you can get 80% of the way there really quickly, and then that next 19% takes orders of magnitude longer, and the next 0.9% is even harder, etc (pretty much anyone who's ever tried to actually apply a neural net for anything will have encountered this). Self-driving cars need a level of reliability basically unheard of for AI or even a classical software system of similar complexity (there's more complex software systems, and systems with higher reliability, but the product on self-driving cars is extreme).

A liability-viable self-driving car needs to be reliable enough that you would expect to see zero significant errors in a typical journey. That's around the point where you will only have a few articles about one of your thousands of cars going wrong each month. Commercially viable needs better than that.