Are you able to expand with any examples of this?
HFT signals are about detecting those patterns right before they occur, but as early as the information is available globally. For example someone just bought huge amounts of X, driving the price up, and you know Y is positively correlated to X, so Y will go up as well, so you buy it before it does.
X and Y might be fungible, correlated mechanically or statistically.
You can also do it on Y=X as well; then what you need is the ability to statistically tell whether a trade will initiate/continue a trend or revert. You only need to be right most of the time.
On one hand you have quantitatively driven strategies that try to predict either a price or direction based on various inputs. Here you’re mostly focused on predictive accuracy, and the challenge is in exiting the trade at the right time. This is where a lot of the speed comes into play (what is your predictive horizon, and can you act fast enough to take advantage of the current market prices?).
The other mode of trading tends to focus on structural mispricing in the market. An easy to understand example is an intermarket arbitrage trade where one market’s buyer or seller crosses prices with the opposite side of the market on another exchange. These events permit a trader to swoop in a capture the delta between the two order prices (provided they can get to both markets in time).
As easy opportunity has dried up (markets have grown more efficient as systems have gotten faster, and parties understanding of the market structure has improved) you see some blending of the two styles (this is where another commenter was talking about mixing a traditionally computed alpha with some hardware solution to generate the order), but both come with different technical challenges and performance requirements.
The market mechanics trades tend to have no recoverability if you miss the opportunity, so you’re often trading out in error and it’s a matter of trying to stem the loss on a position that you do not have an opinionated value signal on.
And there’s definitely an angle to inbound processing speed for both styles of trading, with differing levels of sensitivity depending on the time horizons you are attempting to predict or execute against. Using the example above again, detecting the arb opportunity and firing quickly is obviously paramount, but if you’re running a strategy where you have a 1 minute predictive time horizon sure, there’s some loss that can be associated with inefficiency if you aren’t moving quickly and someone else is firing at a similar signal, but generally speaking there’s enough differentiation in underlying alpha between you and any competitors that the sensitivity to absolute speed isn’t as prevalent as most people expect.
Basically it boils down to going fast enough to beat the competition, and if there isn’t any you have all the time in the world to make decisions and act on them.
