China increasingly is in the consumer market (where the 28nm nodes Chinese players can domestically produce are competitive).
Chinese state agencies are phasing out Intel processors for domestic processors [0] and amendments to the CHIPS act increasingly restrict Intel and other grantees from purchasing Chinese intermediate parts [1], and Intel anyhow has export controls placed on it to prevent sales to Huawei and other controlled organizations [2]
In return, the US is helping subsidize Intel in building our High NA EUV capabilities (a major reason for the Intel layoffs this week) as well as Secure Enclave related R&D
The whole idea of the Sullivan Principle is to force Chinese players to spend more and more money but remaining the same distance apart (2 gen) [3]. The idea is Chinese players keep burning money building capacity, yet lagging behind relatively speaking, and that money could have been used for better applications by China.
Already China's GDP per Capita has remained stagnant since COVID began [4] and those tens of billions spent on building capacity could have been better applied building a more robust domestic economy, yet median per capita household incomes are stuck at around $4.6k/yr with a massive urban-rural gap (approx $7k urban, $2.9k rural) [5].
Without a robust domestic economy, and increased limits on export markets, this only leads to overproduction and deflation.
[0] - https://www.ft.com/content/7bf0f79b-dea7-49fa-8253-f678d5acd...
[1] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-18/lawmakers...
[2] - https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-revoked-some-export-li...
[3] - https://www.belfercenter.org/event/competition-without-catas...
[4] - https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?location...
[5] - https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202402/t202402...