I think most of the capability problems with coding agents aren't the AI itself, it's that we haven't cracked how to let them interact with the codebase effectively yet. When I refactor something, I'm not doing it all at once, it's a step by step process. None of the individual steps are that complicated. Translating that over to an agent feels like we just haven't got the right harness yet.

As the world gets more internet connected and more online, we’ll have an ever expanding list of “small stuff” - glue code that mixes and ever growing list of data sources/sinks and visualizations together. Many of which are “write once” and leave running.

Big companies (eg google) have built complex build systems (eg bazel ) to isolate small reusable libraries within in a larger repo. Which was a necessity to help unbelievably large development teams to manage a shared repository. An LLM acting in its small corner of the wold seems well suited to this sort of tooling, even if it can’t refactor large projects spanning large changes.

I suspect we’ll develop even more abstractions and layers to isolate LLMs and their knowledge of the wold. We already have containers and orchestration enabling “serverless” applications, and embedded webviews for GUIs.

Think about ChatGPT and their python interpreter or Claude and their web view. They all come with nice harnesses to support a boilerplate-free playground for short bits of code. That may continue to accelerate and grow in power.