I’d like to see market-level and category-level analysis on price trends (ie all magic-combat gear is trending up, or this specific item has a lagging relationship with another).
If anyone is curious, prices may be out of date but here is my profitability spreadsheet, time inputs, etc for various things using the api. This is better than the wiki since it can take into account trade limits, compare unlisted methods, hourly upkeep costs, etc. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1iekEqInA2PwEuj1W...
You can tell likely from the methods I’m botting - turns out writing bots is even more fun than actually playing. Too bad private servers are being taken down through legal means, as I can bot there without ethical concerns.
Also these bots have been running for over a year almost every day without being banned.
Most days it would net me a small profit, ocasionally prices would fall slightly throughout the day and I'd lose a little, but equally some days it would rise and I'd make extra.
So that actually sounds quite realistic to me from the market maker point of view of how things actually work in the US.
I am curious, is your Java client one of the many open source bot clients that actually calls into client code? Or is it some type of click script which does some repetitive inputs?
I have had bad luck with the former in terms of getting banned.
The ML model is trained on the price spread and volume data collected with the cronjob every 5 minutes and stored in a database, and the trades with their respective data, but on previously collected data from 63 days up to 14 days earlier and then validated on the remaining later 14 days of data, apparently to not have temporal leakage which I googled and means unintentional backflow of training data which screws up the prediction. So to answer your question the model finds patterns over multiple weeks of data, to rank the best trading choices in the present moment. Then the java component executes the trade in-game with the player character.
What I personally don’t understand is if this data collection and training is rolling continually, or if he let it be trained one shot and then it’s smart enough to remain profitable. Don’t entirely understand the 49 day training, 14 day validation thing either.
Haggle people down to say 6 mil for a party hat I'd sell for 6.5, repeat, when I quit the game I sold it all on eBay, my mum was rather surprised when the money came in.
Hourly rate? Awful.
I very much doubt that I'd be where I am today without that experience though.
O dear I've forgot about how saught after those were.
Why two? Isn’t the latter useless as you have the same information in the current 5m interval?
There is a lot of this in EvE Online and it's a valid and welcome play style. Unfortunately, everybody will tell you its opsec if you ask for details.
If you want more information about EvE Online's extremely deep and intricate economy (Essentially everything is built by players who mine ore to make components who resell to integrators that have associated distributors and clients and so forth) you can check Oz on youtube who makes market and market analysis content ( https://www.youtube.com/@OZeve )
Very closely related, EvE Online now has an official MS Excel plugin from Microsoft with full API integration with EvE Online. This game is an effective way to become an expert using MS Excel and its full, powerful integrations: Oz' Quick Guide: https://youtu.be/eAogNNeDZuo
EvE Online also has a convention where our EvE Ted Talks are presented to one another (like defcon) called Fanfest. Here's 51 minutes: Fanfest 2023 "Market Spreadsheet Masterclass" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Ql6IU1eZpM
If you have an idea, or want to see if you can do this, the free-to-play account can for zero dollars if you already have an MS Excel license or are able to integrate your own solution. The limitation is you will start with zero capital, knowledge, intuition, and F2P accounts can't make nearly as many orders as a fully skilled character.
