A sitting president is more often than not going to lose in the mid-terms. Unless Trump has a positive approval rating going into mid-terms, he definitely loses the House (and I doubt he will positive after his first month).

Trump followers alone is nowhere near enough to win an election in the USA. It was somewhat easy to win this election. you had post-Covid economy coupled with half-senile 80+ year old grandpa who was replaced by a candidate not a soul voted for.

however, when you are up for re-election (and midterms as 1/2-way gauge of how the country thinks you are doing) the buck stops with you. there is no “booo, it is not my fault” etc - american voter is not dumb in this regard.

- responsible for deaths of 100’s of thousands of people - you, the President

- locked everyone up for months in their homes for months, you, the President

- locked kids out of school for months - you, the President

- high un-employment - you, the President

- increased deficit more than anyone could even possible fathom - you, the President

- …

the buck stops with you. core MAGAs might still fall for “anti-wokeness” but that will get you a loss by many millions of votes to an already half-senile grandpa (see 2020) :)