> The good thing about these massive ships is that they take a loong time to sink.

Faster than people realise. The CIA was surprised by suddenness and swiftness of the collapse of the USSR — yes, there were other predictions that it would collapse imminently, but such are made of every country and organisation all the time, of those who should have known best (the Russian government on the inside, the CIA on the outside), it was a surprise.

> If my guesses are correct, it’ll work just long enough for another administration to take over to deal with the fallout.

Assuming things have not deteriorated too much by then that it can still be fixed.

Further, if it completely breaks down by then they may get the blame, even though it was not their fault.

This also assumes that an administration with a different philosophy gets in: if things are still "fine", another bunch of GOP deconstructionists could get in and continue things. In addition, DOGE is not about cost-cutting but about ideological purging, and so what's left of the civil service could act to sabotage any 'recovery efforts'.

Just be careful when using analogies. The massive ship named USSR sank in a matter of months.

Is it a good thing though? It means it takes the same loong time until problems are noticed and reacted upon.

I feel like businesses aren't actively trying to dismantle themselves, but rather the decay, due to neglect/hubris/greed/..., builds to a critical mass over time. This administration is actively trying to dismantle as much of the government as fast as possible. I think the fall could happen much faster than people expect.