If I understand it correctly, this is different, however. In November the Fed was trying to increase rates to bring down inflation. But the high yields now are the result of a lack of private demand.
If that is indeed the case it’s very likely worrying.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2521/30-year-treasury-bond-rate-...
4% on a couple of trillions is vastly different from 4% on 35 trillion.
The metric you want to surveil is how much of the US tax revenue that goes to servicing this debt
The tariff tantrum, destroying US soft power institutions with DOGE, alienating all of our allies with petty feuds, the constant framing of the United States' enviable global positions as bad things. None of these things make any sense if you actually want the United States to succeed.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
Here for example, the Congressional Budget Office, forecasted federal debt as a percent of GDP would continue to rise unchecked, back in 2023: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59014
The only presidential politician who sounded the alarm was Ross Perot, all the way back in the 90s.
Lyn Alden has been talking about this for a long time. If you want a good intro to the problem, I’d recommend this article of hers:
So I completely agree with this statement, but I completely disagree with the metric you've chosen to illustrate it.
"National debt" only exists due to the martingale of the Federal Reserve neutering the government's own monetary sovereignty. If we need to have an inflationary currency, then the new money should be spent by Congress on deliberate public goals - it's another tax.
You can tell "national debt" is a dodgy metric because it combines two very different things into one scary-in-the-context-of-household-finances thing. The portion of "the debt" that is Treasuries held by the Federal Reserve is the lesser bit of monetary creation that was actually spent for public goals, in spite of the fake "fiscal responsibility" narrative. It is moot as far as debt goes - nothing actually happens if it compounds to infinity.
The other portion of "the debt" that is held by private/foreign owners is the government functioning as a bank account of last resort, and could very well just be at the central bank instead.
What we currently have is a dog and pony show to pretend that we don't have this centralized fountain of money, in order for the financial industry to keep getting the first cut of low interest loans (which have mostly gone into bidding up the asset bubbles).
So, claiming this problem is bipartisan is nonsense. I’ll blame the dems for lots of stuff, but wildly inflationary fiscal policies and intentionally destructive economic policies aren’t on the list.
He even gave the advice not to sell that one.
It’s a good but toxic strategy. Give freely printed dollars in exchange for resources over 50years, and then make it worthless.
It is gobsmackingly dumb, but remember we have no evidence of him being anything other than gobsmackingly dumb. It's a very parsimonious explanation of everything he does.
Stephen Miran, the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under Trump, is pretty much trying to do this. He published 'A User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System', and it pretty much outlines why they should destroy the USD - in order to bring manufacturing home, so that the warhawks will no longer have any reason to not start a war with China
> CEA Chairman Steve Miran Hudson Institute Event Remarks
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/04/cea-...
It’s rare to have such a clearly evident case of cause and effect. We know why yields are going up. Because investors don’t believe the U.S. government can control their budget deficits.
The recent rising yields have little to do with money printing from 4-5 years ago.
The rest of the world will probably not let the usd be the reserve currency, if the US does not show that it is able to manage that.
Monetary policy fails in low interest rate environments, and you get chaotic whipsaws thereafter which grow with time. You can find reference to this if you know where to look as far back as the 1930s.
Greedy corrupt blind individuals who have managed to infect leadership win so much that they lose everything.
We are getting a front-row seat to the specifics described in the socialist calculation problem, and it won't stop with just the US. This type of fire keeps burning until the fuel is out.