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0 pointsCharlesW8mo ago0 comments

> MIT estimates only 5% of the workforce can be replaced long term.

The model by MIT's Daron Acemoglu estimates that ~5% of U.S. tasks can be completely and profitably automated by AI within ten years.

It was expressly not a head-count forecast, and didn't attempt to quantify the headcount reduction that AI augmentation could enable.

0 comments

Is this the MIT paper ? In this one the TFP is 0.55%

i think profitably is the key word here, since AI orgs are burning ungodly amounts of money and electricity and will expect to recoup that money.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

0 pointsCharlesW8mo ago0 comments

> MIT estimates only 5% of the workforce can be replaced long term.

The model by MIT's Daron Acemoglu estimates that ~5% of U.S. tasks can be completely and profitably automated by AI within ten years.

It was expressly not a head-count forecast, and didn't attempt to quantify the headcount reduction that AI augmentation could enable.

Is this the MIT paper ? In this one the TFP is 0.55%

i think profitably is the key word here, since AI orgs are burning ungodly amounts of money and electricity and will expect to recoup that money.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse