You’re getting a lot of pushback here, but I have to say, your intuition makes sense to me too.
When you’re connecting those two knots, it seems like you have the option of flipping one before you join them. It does seem very plausible that that extra choice would give you the freedom to potentially reduce the knotting number by 1 in the combined knot.
(Intuitively plausible even if the math is very, very complex and intractable, of course.)