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0 pointsyen2232mo ago0 comments

We are conditioning out the case where the host picks the door with a car, so there's only two scenarios of equal probability left. Hence 50-50.

0 comments

dghf2mo ago

Well yes, if you throw out half of the instances where your original choice was wrong, then the chance your original choice was correct will inevitably go up.

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0 pointsyen2232mo ago0 comments

We are conditioning out the case where the host picks the door with a car, so there's only two scenarios of equal probability left. Hence 50-50.

0 comments

dghf2mo ago

Well yes, if you throw out half of the instances where your original choice was wrong, then the chance your original choice was correct will inevitably go up.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse