Continued speculation: 0% shot of a progressive takeover given the complete lack of moneyed interest, and the pushback from the core Democrats any time any progressive sniffs national success.
If MAGA fails as a political movement it’ll leave a rightwing power vacuum and the Democratic Party will fill it. The progressives will split and you’ll see center right Democrats going up against left wing Progressives in the north. There will still be some vestigial Republican Party in the south that will be based mostly on anti-woke rhetoric, but won’t have any appetite for the policies that MAGA is famous for after they caused an economic collapse, and will mostly vote alongside the new northern democrats.