Ask HN: What will happen with Anthropics ultimatum?

7 pointsmaniacwhat29d ago4 comments

As we are all aware, anthropic has it's ultimatum from the US government: drop their anti-killing TOS or else get in trouble this Friday.

I'm sure whatever happens it'll seem much more obvious that that's what was always going to happen, in hindsight, than it does now.

So as an experiment, I'm curious to hear from the hn community, in advance of Friday, what we think will happen.

Will they concede? Will they ignore and suffer the consequences (and what might those be)? Will we even find out or will it be shrouded in mystery for the foreseeable future?...

This is admittedly somewhat sensationalist so I'm not sure whether it fits with hn guidelines, but as one of the best places I know of for genuine online discussion, I think it would be interesting to hear reasoned predictions.

4 comments

allinonetools_28d ago

Situations like this usually end in some kind of quiet compromise. Companies rarely take a hard public stance if it risks access to key infrastructure or partnerships. What we’ll probably see is subtle policy changes rather than a dramatic announcement.

muzani26d ago

It looks like their contract was canceled and given to OpenAI. OpenAI agreed to roughly the same red lines, but I guess for emotional purposes they chose to switch.

verdverm29d ago

no one knows, just wait until the real news hits, the story will be on the front, it's all speculation until then (and can happen sooner, Friday is the deadline)

DivingForGold29d ago

Is this a prediction on Kalshi yet ?

I see currently: "Will the Pentagon designate Anthropic a supply chain risk? "

I would bet $$ they "cave", morals and ethics be damned.

Next up on Kalshi: Where will the next genocide be accomplished ? Cuba ? Nicaragua ? Who will be the US proxy ? Blackwater ?

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