> we'd still need desk jobs to maintain the guardrails.
Agreed. I don't get why people think it is a good idea not to. I'd wager even the AGI would agree. The reason is quite simple: different perspectives help. Really for mission critical things it makes sense to have multiple entities verifying one another. For nuclear launches there's a chain of responsibility and famously those launching have two distinct keys that must be activated simultaneously. Though what people don't realize is that there's a chain of people who act and act independently during this process. It isn't just the president deciding to nuke a location and everyone else carrying out the commands mindlessly. But in far lower stakes settings... we have code review. Or a common saying in physical engineering as well among many tradesmen "measure twice, cut once".It would be absolutely bonkers to just hand over absolute control of any system to a machine before substantial verification. These vetting processes are in place for a reason. They can be annoying because they slow things down, but they're there because they speed things up in the long run. Because their existence tends to make things less sloppy, so they are less needed. But their existence also catches mistakes that were they made slow down processes far more than all the QA annoyances and slowdowns could ever cause combined.
> And why not? If you can get AI to do the work of the scientist for a tenth of the price
And what are the assumptions being made here? Equal quality work? To my question, this is part of the implication. Price is an incredibly naive metric. We use it because we need something, but a grave mistake is to interpret some metric as more meaningful than it actually is. Goodhart's Law? Or just look at any bureaucracy. I think we need to be more refined than "price". It's going to be god awfully hard to even define what "equal quality" means. But it seems like you're recognizing that given your other statements.