Might look like it, might also just be survivorship bias. Alot of crackpot ideas hit the wall instead of beeing a success. We only notice the successors and might think of them as the default, not the exception.
I was commenting from that perspective, basically any thing we consider today to be “the way it’s done” was once something only crazy people did. I think maybe it was pg who said something like if you’re only working on safe things you’ll never have a breakthrough because if breakthroughs came from safe ideas then there would be more of them. I’m not saying every crazy idea changes the world but if you want to change the world you need a crazy idea.
