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0 pointsmarkisus11d ago0 comments

QQQ is problematic because it’s influenced by strange back room dealings with Space X, if the article is to be believed.

VTI is different. It literally tracks all public stocks, weighted by market cap so no such manipulation is possible.

If a bunch of people will be forced to buy Space X (QQQ holders), active investors will short the stock in anticipation of market correction and money will flow from those who were forced to buy. I’m sure there are other ways to take advantage of a forced buyer situation.

Total market will be unaffected, assuming efficient market hypothesis / no arbitrage.

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nighthawk45411d ago

QQQ is not in isolation. It’s just a bundle of stocks. Rebalancing that will affect the prices of its constituent stocks, which include some of the highest market cap stocks. Those same stocks are also in many of those other popular market-cap weighted indexes (VTI, VOO, SPY, etc). Price action originating from Nasdaq 100 rebalancing would affect everywhere else those stocks are held. Which is a lot of places.

Except those other indexes won’t have SpaceX. Suggesting any index price moves would be … asymmetric at best.

Now it’s being reported that they’re angling to get SpaceX in the S&P 500 index as well [1]. Maybe if all the indexes get it then it balances out everywhere, who knows. This whole event would be in beyond unprecedented territory.

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-weighs-rule-changes-speed-1...

markisusOP10d ago

Can you explain what asymmetric means?

Are you saying that this forced rebalancing will be large enough to cause a large price drop on other stocks?

Let’s just think about any stock in particular, eg stock ABC. If I am an active investor, I have an opinion on ABC and its net present value. When ABC dips below that value, I buy. Wouldn’t I prepare some cash in anticipation of this large ABC sell off at discounted prices? And thus the ABC price would not move from its fair price.

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