That said, $30M a month is not that many cars. If they can sell them, and losses don't increase as a function of sales, which seems to be the case now, they will eventually be in good shape.
EDIT: TL;DR: This quarter they lost the same amount as last quarter but sold 25 million more in cars. That means for every additional dollar in car they sold over last quarter, they lost that dollar. Not exactly scalable but hopefully temporary.
Their statement is available at: http://ir.teslamotors.com/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1193125-12-...
"The third quarter was a fundamental turning point for Tesla as we successfully transitioned to a mass production car company, growing from manufacturing 5 cars per week at the beginning of the quarter to 100 cars per week by the end. That rate has doubled since last month and is now at over 200 cars per week or 10,000 cars per year, which is at the critical threshold needed for Tesla to generate positive operating cash flow. One month from now, we expect Tesla to double production again and achieve the target rate of 400 cars per week or 20,000 per year. Despite many short term costs associated with the ramp, Tesla nonetheless expects to get approximately halfway to the 25% gross margin target by end of year."
edit: until they are not producing at least 200 cars / week, the operating cost of their manufacturing line is actually larger than the money they make from those cars produced. So, based on that logic Tesla should be losing money but less than in the past. However, in this quarter they went from manufacturing 5 cars/week to 100, which is something you can probably only do by revamping your operations (e.g. acquire new machinery, hire new people, etc.) Therefore, you have to incur a cost now in order to get the benefits in the future.
In addition, they've been ramping up production (they're roughly halfway to their target 400/wk goal), and that involves overhead like training new staff and building out an operations team. They should get to full production capacity at the end of the month, but they've already hired those extra workers and they're going to burn through cash while they get up to speed.
That is not how GAAP accounting works. You record revenue when you finish building the car and it leaves the factory gate, not when you accept a deposit.
Its interesting how in some political ads I've been seeing, a politician is 'called out' for supporting funding for companies like Tesla specifically.
Anyway it's an odd argument when we look at the history of the country where governments and specific companies often worked hand in hand and continue to do so in so many areas.
Many argue that the American government ought to be more aggressive about being pro-business, as our friends abroad are. E.g. if the Taiwanese, Israelis, Chinese, etc have very strong government-private partnerships (e.g. subsidies for engineering jobs, or green-lighting through regulatory processes, or access to cheap capital) then the US competitors have trouble competing. What I find so odd is the same camp that often says the US needs to be more pro-business, is often, as you describe, against government support of American business!
Historically, industrial policy doesn't have a terrific track record.
And I wouldn't even agree with that. We've seen what happens when government decides to support Hollywood.
Ultimately Tesla, if it really does continue to grow, will need to build factories in the traditional manufacturing states if it wants to gain the political traction the automotive sector enjoys.
I did the same thing about a year ago and I'm still happy that I did, despite the stock not moving over the past year. I do believe Tesla can become a major car manufacturer during the transition to electric cars, since this period will likely be fatal to some of the weaker legacy companies.
I also realized that I may have purchased a ticket to Mars. If Musk's plans for both Tesla and SpaceX pan out, my Telsa shares will hopefully be worth as much as a trip to Mars in 30-35 years :)
Has anyone investigated that as an investing strategy?
