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0 pointsA_D_E_P_T1mo ago0 comments

Two things can be true at the same time:

- AI is a genuinely transformative technology on par with the internet and on track to probably surpass the smartphone

- The inflated valuations, the circular flows of money (or "money"), and the financial cup-shell game mean that the players of the game are all a few bad weeks away from catastrophe. This is, of course, nothing new for SV -- but the scale this time is new. Some believe it will soon collapse -- "bubble," thus.

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rvz1mo ago

Yes. Both things can be true at the same time.

The question is when will the frontier AI companies turn a profit on said transformative technology since other than NVIDIA and big tech, it is losing them tens of billions and who will survive a crash when it comes.

This is when you know you are in a bubble when people with a clear financial incentive are going on to newsletters, podcasts and posting extremely outlandish predictions to sell the public on something.

The amount of engineers becoming snake-oil salesmen and vibe-coders becoming cybersecurity experts overnight selling AI courses is a good indicator which I am looking at.

d2ssa1mo ago

Agreed. People like Huang are doing too much weird stuff now, its obvious.

THe game is up - huge returns are not coming but some areas will benefit from LLMs like Software Engineers. Continued competition and reinvestment among the players will yield good outcomes imo.

Investors who didnt sell their stock in time are going to be p1ssed though. Wonder how the fall out will be managed.

lstodd1mo ago

> The amount of engineers becoming ..

This is good. It's how you know they lacked the intellectual rigour required to be engineers in the first place and thus never were.

d2ssa1mo ago

This may sound like a bizarre comment, but, one could argue collusion re. wages back in the day was a good thing - it kept the people who weren't all that passionate about it out.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse

0 comments

rvz1mo ago

Yes. Both things can be true at the same time.

The amount of engineers becoming snake-oil salesmen and vibe-coders becoming cybersecurity experts overnight selling AI courses is a good indicator which I am looking at.

d2ssa1mo ago

Agreed. People like Huang are doing too much weird stuff now, its obvious.

THe game is up - huge returns are not coming but some areas will benefit from LLMs like Software Engineers. Continued competition and reinvestment among the players will yield good outcomes imo.

Investors who didnt sell their stock in time are going to be p1ssed though. Wonder how the fall out will be managed.

lstodd1mo ago

> The amount of engineers becoming ..

This is good. It's how you know they lacked the intellectual rigour required to be engineers in the first place and thus never were.

d2ssa1mo ago

This may sound like a bizarre comment, but, one could argue collusion re. wages back in the day was a good thing - it kept the people who weren't all that passionate about it out.

j / k navigate · click thread line to collapse