Feels risky to push the S-1 a day before the latest starship launch. If there is a catastrophic failure OR a perfect success it feels like it would be material here.
Also I’m concerned that if AI “works” (ie: country-of-genuses-in-a-box) that the moat of reusable rockets decreases substantially. What would stop Northrop from vibe coding their own starship?
That's an interesting use of the word material. The problem with the IPO is that it's vibes based. There's already a lot to doubt about starship. If there is some large failure on this flight, it won't change the actual material value, or lack thereof. But it would shift the vibes.
