No one AFAIK has attempted to do any of this work. All I've seen are unsubstantiated claims for each side's agenda.
We need to know what hard conditions guarantee an R0 small enough to prevent disease transmission in schools.
There has been zero leadership here.
Is that really substantiated or has it just been theorized? California and Texas have been doing poorly compared to Florida so heat itself doesn’t seem to be the differing factor if it is a factor at all.
That is simply not true. California has had fewer cases per capita, fewer deaths per capital, and more tests per capita.
> California and Texas have been doing poorly compared to Florida so heat itself doesn’t seem to be the differing factor if it is a factor at all.
California is much colder than Florida, if you weight it by population and not land area.
Wouldn't be surprised if that is also true of Texas. Both have large tracts of sparsely populated arid, very hot land that contributes to popular image but isn't where most people live.
Also, California has not been doing poorly compared to Florida, but there are a whole lot of non-climatic differences.
Florida COVID death rate: 0.155%
These numbers are statistically tied.
Yet, FL's economy is open, kids are in school, Disney World entertaining tourists.
CA's business are closed & kids are depressed and falling behind.
(Bad) leadership matters.
Based on excess death counts, the real number for Florida maybe 25-100% higher. See:
https://www.statnews.com/2021/01/25/undercounting-covid-19-d...
https://www.sun-sentinel.com/coronavirus/fl-ne-florida-coron...
https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/AJPH.2020.3061...
[0] https://www.wftv.com/news/local/facing-3-billion-shortfall-l...
[1] https://apnews.com/article/gavin-newsom-california-coronavir...
California: 57.501 deaths, 3.641.664 cases (= 1.58%)
Florida: 32.712 deaths, 2.004.354 cases (= 1.63%)
Total number of cases to total state population is just shy of 10% in both cases.
