I see LLM models not as the end of society, just as new powerful productivity tools.
This is because you're used to normal technological development scaling. Unfortunately with AI we are unsure at this point if our old paradigms still apply.
What happens with society really depends on where we are on the technology growth curve. If LLMs plateau for a while and we don't see significant growth in their abilities, then we'll just see pretty massive technological disruption and reshifting of human priorities, kind of like when the car or plane showed up. On the other hand, if we pop the AGI rabbit out of the top hat in short order it is going to surface deep fundamental problems that humans world wide have been ignoring because of the status quo has not demanded such rapid change.
LLMs are impressive at natural language processing (which is a damn hard problem to solve), and can both parse and generate natural language at a satisfactory level. It's an interesting facet of AI, but it also has some glaring limitations for wider use.
I'd agree, but it's not good to forget that every few decades a new shiny toy shines so brightly that it razes two whole cities to the ground in seconds.
Again, if we are close to AGI every single one of your past ideas on how technology should behave is outdated and done for.
I didn't say we were going to get AGI, and I said it's completely possible we are going plateau out. But if we create general intelligence it will be as if we have created fire, or the wheel, it will present a profound and drastic change in technological capabilities that it will reshape all of humanity.
Surely there are differences between some of them, or are they all the same to you?
Literally everyone of those were massively hyped and sold as "the future"
This is not to dismiss the current trend of AI. Hell, I pay for ChatGPT premium and love to play with StableDiffusion. But I do get bored at all the LARPing about how how LLM is just a step from AI taking over the world.
